|
Alex Smart |
|
|---|---|---|
| Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $74000.00 plus dime player run! |
| FREE PICKS | ||
|---|---|---|
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NBA | Apr 23, 2024 Pacers vs. Bucks |
Bucks PK -110 at CONSENSUS |
in 2h |
|
The Bucks took a 109-94 decision in game 1 of this series and matchup very well vs the run and gun Pacers even without Giannis Antetokounmpo in the lineup. The Bucks looked like they were the superior side. Im betting nothing changes here in game two of this series here in Wisconsin. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season.MILWAUKEE is 19-8 ATS (in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
||
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
|---|---|---|
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NHL | Apr 22, 2024 Islanders vs Hurricanes |
UNDER 5½ -120 |
Lost $120.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
|
Game one saw the Isles lose 3-1 with one of the goals they gave up being an empty netter. With Carolina goaltender Frederik Andersen making 33 saves in game one he looks like he is in a groove .Meanwhile, Isles Im betting will struggle to score once again, while Carolina Im betting will find the sledding tough against a veteran Isles team that knows how to grind it out in play off hockey. Also the goaltending tandem of Sorokin and Varlamov are also considered to be a top tier pair of puck stoppers. CAROLINA is 21-4 UNDER against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or better of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored. The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 95 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI) Play under |
||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
MLB | Apr 22, 2024 Blue Jays vs Royals |
OVER 8½ -120 |
Lost $120.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
|
Pitching Trends:KCs expected starter SINGER is 17-6 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. Blue Jays expected starter KIKUCHI is 1-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.483. KIKUCHIin his L/11 starts vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. Jays bullpen owns a sub par 5.24 ERA so far this season. KC has averaged 5.9 rpg at home this season. QUATRARO in his L/ 32 in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of KANSAS CITY has seen a combined average of 10 rpg scored. QUATRARO is 14-3 OVER in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more as the manager of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. ( Lost to Baltimore 5-0 yesterday) MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or less ) -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 start are 36-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with an average of 11.5 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY/TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or better) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 70-30 OVER for a 70% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at 10.6 rpg . Play over |
||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NBA | Apr 22, 2024 Lakers vs Nuggets |
UNDER 223½ -115 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
|
Denver ranks 6h in-defense ppg allowed , and 14th in offensive production and 27th in pace.Slow and and easy is the defending campions modus operandi, and nothing will chan ge today in the high altitudes of Rockies. Im betting the Nuggets play gridning physcial game as they look to slow down the Lakers and make them work hard for every point, which will lead to a lower socring game than the linesmakers number suggests. DENVER is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored.DENVER is 16-6 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 219 ppg scored.DENVER is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored.DENVER is 8-0 UNDER in home games against Pacific division opponents this season with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. Five of the last eight games here in Denver have stayed under. Play on the under |
||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NBA | Apr 22, 2024 76ers vs Knicks |
UNDER 208 -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
|
These teams have a recent history of playing very physical defensive games in the recent past and Im betting on nothing changing here tonight in game two of this series. Three of the L/4 meetings have failed to eclipse this Totals offering. NEW YORK in 26 games when leading in a playoff series since 1996 have seen a combined average of 174 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 9-0 UNDER when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 28-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
||
|
SERVICE BIO |
|---|
|
Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
STAY CONNECTED WITH US
