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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 15, 2018
Florida State vs Boston College
Florida State
-2½ -110 at betonline
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Florida State (7:00 ET): Truth be told, I got very lucky w/ the Seminoles on Saturday. Hosting Syracuse, they blew a 10-pt halftime lead and had to go to overtime. But OT was actually a massive break for me as I was laying the points and for most of the second half, it appeared as if they had little shot to cover. The same held true in OT. Thankfully, the game then went into double OT and that's where the 'Noles took over, outscoring the Orange by 11 and getting the shocking cover. Playing on the road 48 hrs later hardly seems like an ideal spot to follow up w/ a play on them, but Boston College I believe is "ripe for the picking here." The Eagles faced Dartmouth over the weekend, making this a large step up in class for them.

B.C. had lost three of four in ACC play prior to beating Dartmouth on Saturday. That includes a 30-pt loss at North Carolina in their last conference game. Dartmouth, predictably, was a much easier task, though the Eagles only led by three at halftime. They took over though after the break, thanks to guard Ky Bowman. Now B.C. did beat Duke here in Chesnut Hill earlier this season. They're 10-1 SU at home overall, outscoring opponents by 13 PPG. That one home loss came to Clemson, by four, right after the New Year. They've already faced most of the ACC heavyweights, not to mention a very good Texas Tech team in the non-conf portion of the schedule. However, I think it's important to remember this was just a nine-win team last season (already 12 wins TY!) including a 2-16 SU record in ACC play. I'm not sure they've improved to the point we should regularly expect them to be winning.

Florida State should still find itself in the Top 25 when the new poll comes out. That's despite sustaining close losses to both Miami and Louisville prior to outlasting Syracuse. There is some concern here w/ leading scorer Terrance Mann potentially out due to a concussion. But the 'Noles are deep enough to overcome that, at least against this opponent. In last year's lone matchup w/ B.C., they won by 32. Has that much really changed in one year's time? The 'Noles were 19-pt favorites for that matchup as well. They have covered 7 of the 10 times they have been favored this season. 8* Florida State

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 15, 2018
Maryland vs Michigan
+7 -110 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Maryland (6:30 ET): The Big 10 has become a lot more wide open, thanks to the sudden struggles of Michigan State. Michigan is one of the teams that recently beat Sparty, doing so on Saturday as they went into East Lansing and prevailed 82-72 as 9.5-pt underdogs. That impressive win for the Wolverines came on the heels of them losing by only one to mighty Purdue. Now comes the inevitable letdown though. It certainly seems dangerous to lay points w/ the Maize and Blue right now, given the emotion involved from the last two games. Maryland won't be lacking in motivation here as it was embarrassed at Ohio State on Thursday, 91-69. Having had the weekend off is a nice edge for the Terps. Take the points.

Maryland has actually suffered two bad defeats in its last three games, the other coming at Michigan State. But other than that, they've played well. They'd won eight of nine heading into the Ohio State game where they shot just 36.7% from the floor while allowing the Buckeyes to make 56.1% of their field goal attempts. Sure enough, bad defense was also the culprit in the loss to Michigan State, but the good news is the Terrapins are 9-2 ATS the L3 seasons after allowing 80+ pts the previous game. They just covered in this spot, in between the losses to Michigan State and Ohio State, beating Iowa 91-73 last Sunday. Injuries have taken a big toll on this team recently, but I think the extra time off will be a big "boon" Monday.

Maryland hasn't played many close games recently, but they have been involved in six that were decided by six points or less this year. That includes two Big 10 victories, over Illinois and Penn State. Michigan comes in red hot, having won 8 of 9 w/ the only loss coming to Purdue. But this just seems like a good spot to fade as they're off a huge upset over a rival. They didn't cover their last game as a favorite, beating Illinois by only 10. Also, the last three meetings between these two have all been decided by seven points or less. Maryland won both games last year and I fully anticipate a close game at Crisler Arena tonight. In beating Michigan State, Michigan saw Sparty sink only three of 13 three-point attempts. Maryland will be more prolific than that tonight. 10* Maryland

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 15, 2018
Warriors vs Cavs
OVER 231 -110 Lost
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Over Warriors/Cavaliers (8:05 ET): Golden State is back to its high-scoring ways (7-1 Over L8 games) and that means big-time trouble for a Cleveland team that is absolutely atrocious defensively. The Cavs come into this game ranked 29th in defensive efficiency, ahead of only lowly Sacramento. So this looks to be a far greater mismatch than what we saw in LY's NBA Finals. Furthermore, the Cavs are reeling right now as they've suffered three consecutive losses, two of them (Minnesota, Toronto) by a combined 62 points and then they blew a 20+ pt lead Friday in Indiana. Perhaps the only silver lining here is that I expect them to shoot much better than they did X-Mas Day in Oakland. As a result, I'm on the Over here.

This is a battle of two top five teams in offensive efficiency. Golden State recently regained the top spot, overtaking Houston. They have averaged 117.2 points per over the L5 games and they're shooting better than 50% from the floor for the season. Steph Curry (returned Saturday) will play tonight, making them all the more dangerous. Saturday's 127-125 win over Toronto is a little misleading in that the Dubs led by as many as 27 (on the road!). They shot a blistering 58% from the floor, the third time in four games they shot 55% or better! Against an inept defensive team like Cleveland, they should be able to name their point total. This may seem like a really high O/U line (it is!), but the Warriors are 6-1 Over this year in games where the number is 230 pts or higher. 

Cleveland is the worst ATS team in the league and has shockingly failed to score 100 pts in three straight games. Prior to the loss to Indiana, they'd given up 127+ pts in three straight, which is quite obviously very terrible. While the defense will continue to struggle here, I do expect more from LeBron James and crew on the offensive end. The last time they faced Golden State (X-Mas Day), they shot just 31.8% overall, which made it a bit a miracle that they only lost by seven (no Curry for GSW though). The Cavs were actually 15 of 36 from three-point range in that game, but only 13 of 52 on two-point attempts! That latter figure will improve dramatically here. So too will GSW's three-point shooting from the last meeting where they went just 10 of 37 w/o Curry. 10* Over Warriors/Cavs

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 15, 2018
Bucks vs Wizards
-4½ -110 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Washington (2:05 ET): This is the second game of a back to back for Milwaukee (who really let me down yday) and third game in four days. An ugly showing Sunday in Miami (scored only 79 pts) made it four consecutive ATS losses (1-3 straight up), but they'll be getting no sympathy here from the Wizards, who are 0-5 ATS their L5 games and have revenge on their minds from a 110-103 loss to the Bucks right here in D.C. nine days ago. Note Washington has been a favorite in all five games it did not cover, so they still carry plenty of respect in the marketplace. They come in averaging a whopping 111.0 PPG at home and I really like this spot for them, given the scheduling set up and revenge angle. Lay the points.

Note that I actually played AGAINST the Wiz Saturday night when they hosted Brooklyn. I caught a major break w/ the Nets being able to force overtime as they trailed by as many as 23 pts. For Washington, that night found them playing in the second game of a back to back (just like Milwaukee here. A lack of consistency in closing out games is a bit of a concern w/ this Washington team as there have been multiple instances this year of them blowing double digit leads and losing. But, I think, being able to still win Saturday night is a step in the right direction. They never trailed in the game, despite it going to OT. Offensively, there are no issues with this team right now. Their top two scorers - Beal and Wall - shot a combined 12 of 38 in the 1st meeting w/ the Bucks, but I can't see that happening again given how poor the Bucks' defense has been of late. Opponents shoot better than 40% from three-point range, on the road, for the season. 

Milwaukee shot only 31.6% from the floor yesterday in its 97-79 loss at Miami. This team has been outscored on the year and is overrated. In fact, they have a worse YTD point differential than do the 16-25 Hornets! I just can't see the winning twice here in D.C. in a nine-day span. Yes, they'll probably shoot significantly better here compared to yday. But a decline in defense should offset that. Interestingly enough, the last visit to the Nation's capital saw the Bucks off a double digit loss and playing the second game of a back to back. But consecutive day games is a rare thing in this league and certainly won't help. 8* Washington

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Jan 15, 2018
Stars vs Bruins
-146 at betonline
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Boston (1:05 ET): Playoff hopefuls from each conference meet Monday in Beantown. The Bruins have surged into second place in the Atlantic by going 8-0-2 their L10, trailing only league-best Tampa Bay in that division. A 1st rd playoff matchup w/ Toronto almost seems inevitable at this point, but first they must concern themselves w/ hosting a Dallas club fighting for its own position in the rugged Central. The Stars enter the day w/ 51 pts, good enough for 5th in their own division, a spot that would enable them to be the last playoff entrant in the Western Conference. However, key here is venue. The Stars are right up there, among the very best in the league in scoring differential at home. But, on the road, they're only 8-11-2 and averaging just 2.5 goals per game. Again, this game is in Boston ;)

The Bruins have suffered only five regulation defeats on home ice all year and are 14-5-3 overall at the TD North Bank Garden. The team has gone 18-3-3 its last 24 games, period. Most recently, they beat Montreal (4-3) in a shootout on Saturday. With Tuukka Rask in goal, they've gone 12-0-2 their L14 and he is expected to start today. Versus Dallas, Rask's all-time save percentage in .924. Note that if backup Anton Khudobin goes, that's okay too as he has a .940 career save percentage vs. Dallas. This Bruins team not only ranks in the Top 10 in both goals scored and allowed, but also on the power play and penalty killing. They have truly emerged as one of the more "complete" teams in the league right now.

The Stars took a bad loss on Saturday, losing at home to Colorado by a score of 4-1. That wrapped up a 4-2 homestand. In fact, they have played only one road game (lost at Minnesota) going all the way back to December 17th! Kari Lehtonen is expected to be between the pipes for them today and he is an incredible 9-0 all-time vs. the Bruins. But his save percentage nor his goals against average in those nine games indicate no real dominance. In front of him, he'll be w/o key defenseman Marc Methot. That could mean trouble facing a Boston offense that's averaging more than five goals per game over its last five contests. 8* Boston


The time has come for Bryan Power to EXPAND! Having achieved a tremendous amount of success, Power is expanding his reach in 2015 as he proudly announces the formation of Power Sports Picks (that's "PSP" for short). Power Sports Picks promises to deliver the same quality analysis (and same amount of winning) as before, only now with a FULL TEAM assembled, the SKY IS THE LIMIT!

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