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| BIG 2023! ASA runs thru July 16th: All Sports 42 games over .500 and UP $14,560 in 2023! NBA Tops long-term +$55,600 (+100 games)! NHL long-term +$38,240 (+44 games)! CFB 72-49 (+$18,180). MLB Sides 43-27 in 2023. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 25, 2024 Nuggets vs Lakers |
OVER 216½ -115 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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ASA top play on 10* OVER 216.5 Denver Nuggets at LA Lakers, 10 PM ET - We are simply betting the number here and have to take the value with an OVER wager in this Game 3. Everyone knows how the Nuggets have dominated the Lakers with 10-straight wins but so far in this series the (gulp) Lakers have been the better overall team. While we are not getting involved in the Side of this game, we will jump in on the Total. The first two games in this series had O/U’s of 226.5 and 223. Granted, they combined for 217 and 200 total points but that will change in Game 3. The two regular season games in Los Angeles had O/U’s posted of 231.5 and 233 and the two teams combined for 238 and 220. In fact, in the last ten meetings between these two teams they have combined to score more than tonight Total eight times. The Lakers will set the tempo tonight and they prefer to play fast at home with the 3rd fastest pace of play on their home court during the regular season. We also know the Lakers will get some ‘home cooking’ from the officials and will score plenty of points from the free throw line with a stopped clock. The Lakers are 20-15-1 Over when coming off a loss this season, 29-25-1 Over against other Western Conference teams. Denver has some strong Under support on the road this season but those O/U numbers were set significantly higher during the regular season. The Nuggets road games averaged 220PPG on the year which is clearly enough to grab the cash in this one. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 25, 2024 Cavs vs Magic |
Magic -125 at circa |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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ASA play on Orlando Magic -1.5 -115 or Pick -125 vs Cleveland Cavaliers, 7 PM ET - Home teams have dominated thus far in the playoffs (as expected they are the lower seed) and we expect that trend to carry over in this 4/5 series. The Magic were 18-23 SU away from home this season with an average +/- of -3.6PPG. They had an efficiency differential of minus -3.6 on the road. At home the Magic were a completely different team with a 29-12 SU record and the 5th best average point differential of +7.8PPG. We played against Orlando in the first two games of this series and expected them to struggle offensively. They shot just 33% and 36% in Games 1 and 2. We should see a positive regression here as they shoot 47.5% on the season and 48.7% at home. Cleveland did have a winning record on the road this season of 22-19 SU with a positive differential of +1.1PPG. They have lost 8 of their last ten on the road though and now face a desperate Orlando team who is fantastic on their home court. We like Orlando to get a win here. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 25, 2024 White Sox vs Twins |
Twins -1½ +100 at circa |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
| #912 ASA PLAY ON Minnesota Twins -1.5 on the Run Line (-110) over Chicago White Sox, Thursday at 2:10 PM ET - We will mention the starting pitching too but this play has to do with the overall mismatch and the horrid start the White Sox have had to this season. We were a little leery of the Twins bats and have stayed away from this series so far because of that. A win by just one run in Game 2 of the 4-game set validated the caution. However, the Twins did win big again yesterday and are now going for the 4-game sweep and 2 of the 3 wins in this series have been by at least a 3-run margin. The White Sox are simply dreadful overall and also at the plate! Chicago has scored an average of only 2.2 runs per game this season! Their record is now 3-21 this season and they have gone 1-12 away from home! They have lost 6 straight and have gone 1-11 last 12 games with an aggregate average score of 6.4 to 2.0 in those games. Yes they are not only losing but losing bad and we expect that to continue here. The Twins have scored 19 runs so far in this series and confidence is increasing. Chicago's Soroka is 0-3 this season and has struggled badly in 4 of his 5 starts this season. Minnesota's Woods-Richardson had a great first start this season and though he has had some struggles in the minors this season, he was solid against the Tigers and will take advantage of facing the worst hitting team in baseball here plus he has the luxury of pitching at home. 15 of Chicago's last 18 losses have been by a multi-run margin and, per our computer math model, this one plays out in similar fashion. Another ugly loss for the White Sox. Lay it with the Twins. Minnesota has had a tough early season schedule - look at the teams they have faced and their records - but they are now 3-0 against the only team they have faced that currently has a losing record on the season and that is these downtrodden White Sox. Lay the 1.5 with Minnesota | ||
| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 26, 2024 Bucks vs Pacers |
Pacers -5½ -115 at Mirage |
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| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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ASA top play on 10* Indiana Pacers -5.5 vs Milwaukee Bucks, 5:30 PM ET - If we examine the big picture for the Bucks, it’s not as rosy as one might think. They are already paying two previous coaches a ton of money and are now stuck with Doc Rivers who is vastly overrated. The roster when healthy is a good one, but without Giannis (30PPG, 11.5RPG, 6.5APG, 1.1BPG) they have too many deficiencies on both ends of the court. There is a good chance Khris Middleton doesn’t play tonight, or if he does, he will not be close to 100%. The young Pacers were clearly nervous for Game 1 as it was a first-time playoff experience for many on the roster and it showed in a 109-94 loss. Then in Game 2 they settled in and dominated the Bucks in the second half for a 125-108 victory. Back at home we expect the home crowd to be electric and the young Pacers will feed off that energy. Indiana was 26-15 SU at home this season with the 6th best home court differential of +6.8PPG. They closed out the regular season with 5 straight home wins, 4 of which were against other Playoff teams. Milwaukee was a below average road team this season with a 18-22 SU record and a negative average Margin of Victory of minus -1.1PPG. When coming off a loss the Bucks are 13-19-1 ATS this season which is the second worst spread record in the league in that situation. Indiana is 5-2 SU versus the Bucks this season and 4 of those wins have come by 9+ points. The Bucks have no answer for Siakam who torched Milwaukee for 36 and 37 points in the first two games. Easy call here with Indiana in a double-digit win. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the sports betting industry. Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s. After learning the handicapping trade from one of the oldest in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since. They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year. ASA is located in Madison, WI and a foundation of their handicapping prowess revolves around the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten. ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few. They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season. ASAwins handicapping methods have evolved through years of with hard work and research being the anchor of their success. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections. They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping. That’s not where they stop, however. They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest). On top of that, they analyze each point spread (and their movements) comparing them with their own power ratings to find where an edge might be found. Lastly, their predictive analytics or math models predict the outcomes of games based solely on numbers and statistics that aren’t swayed by the human element. So, as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years which has them as one of the more tenured experts in the industry. Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so. Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need. Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you invest in the known commodity of ASAwins! |
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